ACO BETTING
Tracking starts 17 May 2026. Shadow picks track bets I recommended but you didn't place — so we know what we missed (or correctly avoided).
Bankroll by bookie
Bets — placed today (17 May 2026)
Populated from today's chat session — confirm against your actual bookie history tomorrow morning and I'll correct anything off. Outcomes (W/L/return) come from the same paste.
| Bookie |
Type |
Selection(s) |
Odds |
Stake |
Pot. return |
Status |
P&L |
Shadow picks — recommended but not placed
If these would have won, this is the money we left on the table. If they lose, this is the discipline gain from not chasing.
| Pick |
Market |
Odds |
Notional stake |
Status |
Would-have P&L |
Day P&L summary
Strategy rules in play
- Sweet spot odds band: 3.00–3.99 decimal (~3/1) — historical ROI +41% on 46 bets. Avoid 2.00–2.49 band (−32% ROI). Avoid 6.00+ longshots (9% win rate).
- Concentration beats spray — yesterday's PP singles at £10 returned +75% ROI; £1 spray on other accounts returned +3.5%. Same source tips.
- Stack high-conviction tips as doubles/trebles, not 6/8/10-fold lotteries. PP doubles + treble on HPS×KPV×Pribram = +£228.83 yesterday.
- Skip horse racing. Skip Match Odds accas on multiple favourites. Skip Lucky 15 / Yankee / Bet Builder Multi.
- Don't cash out winning bets unless circumstance changes (injury, red card).
- Substitution authority: when building accas, I can swap a sharpbetting tip to a related-safer market (Under 1.5 → Under 2.5, BTTS No on heavy fav → straight win) if it improves the acca shape.